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MrsBlue  
#1 Posted : 08 October 2012 16:00:23(UTC)
Rank: Guest
Guest

All of my risk assessments carry the Harm x Liklihood matrix (I use 1-3 for harm and 1 - for liklihood). I start with the hazards and score them, then list control meaures then a Residual Risk matrix.

A senior manager has questioned the validity of the first matrix where the scores will be high for significant hazards. I have stated these scores are subjective and my interpretation if no control measures exist.

My question is this: Can a risk assessment be written down without using a scoring matrix or the terms Low, Medium and High if the hazard is stated and the control measure is adequate?

Thanks

Rich
jwk  
#2 Posted : 08 October 2012 16:02:11(UTC)
Rank: Super forum user
jwk

Simple answer Rich is yes, you can use terms like Low, Medium High and so on. What's best is what works for you and your organisation; the important thing is that ratings, whether numbers or words, should lead to appropriate action,

John
Tigers  
#3 Posted : 08 October 2012 16:16:09(UTC)
Rank: Forum user
Tigers

Rich,

I have in the past used a 10x10 matrix grid which actually gives a % risk rate which your Management would probably understand better, it also give a more balanced approach, providing you can justify why you have chosen each of the 10 levels in the likelihood and impact.
But your question on figures I was always told produce the uncontrolled figure of the risk then put the controls and re-assess with controls in place, a quantitative assessment. Completely ignore the figures giving a qualitative assessment.
I had a discussion with a HSE inspector on the subject, their take was "Do not get hung up on the figures but only on how you are protecting the person reasonably practicable".
jontyjohnston  
#4 Posted : 08 October 2012 16:16:38(UTC)
Rank: Super forum user
jontyjohnston

Bang on jwk!

Rich remember that risk assessment is a process, some competent people looking at an activity/process/etc and deciding what could cause harm and what you can do to prevent or mitigate.

The piece of paper with all the nice terminology is just the "record" of assessment.

As regards scoring matrices etc these are still subjective and are only a guide to provide a consistent approach and uniformity across your assessment activities.
Steveeckersley  
#5 Posted : 08 October 2012 16:27:42(UTC)
Rank: Forum user
Steveeckersley

tigers wrote:
Rich,

I have in the past used a 10x10 matrix grid which actually gives a % risk rate which your Management would probably understand better, it also give a more balanced approach, providing you can justify why you have chosen each of the 10 levels in the likelihood and impact.
But your question on figures I was always told produce the uncontrolled figure of the risk then put the controls and re-assess with controls in place, a quantitative assessment. Completely ignore the figures giving a qualitative assessment.
I had a discussion with a HSE inspector on the subject, their take was "Do not get hung up on the figures but only on how you are protecting the person reasonably practicable".

Tigers I can see your logic but in the scheme of things whats the difference between scores of 72 and 76 in relation to what you would put in place!!
I know we have to respond to the level of risk but do you respond differently because of the scores being different and if so what is the different response for the numbers Ive quoted (sorry seems like Ive asked the same question twice!)
flysafe  
#6 Posted : 08 October 2012 16:48:11(UTC)
Rank: Forum user
flysafe

The examples the HSE publishes on its web site have no scoring
whatsoever

http://www.hse.gov.uk/risk/casestudies/index.htm

I used almost the same template in my last job but did stick in a risk level column using a subjective H-M-L after the, what are we already doing column, H or M meant more controls or action required L – no further controls required, seemed to work fine.

Now with a company who have a different system that includes a pre and post control matrix, I am not convinced it adds anything to the assessment and in fact there is a focus on the numbers and no focus on whether anyone actual applies any of the controls.

I would say its about how the RA system is used that is the important bit.
sadlass  
#7 Posted : 08 October 2012 20:25:42(UTC)
Rank: Forum user
sadlass

YOUR risk assessments?
What approach do the actually responsible managers use for their assessment findings?
boblewis  
#8 Posted : 08 October 2012 22:18:36(UTC)
Rank: Super forum user
boblewis

I think that too often we forget that almost no real life activity is a single risk operation and there are therefore multiple risks in each task. Matrices etc are useful for identifying the more significant risks of a task and thus give guidance on what to control in order to minmise the overall risk profile of an operation. All too often one sees assessments with scatter gun control measures that fail to address the significant risk areas. I have mentioned previously that I have seen welfare facilities being stated as a control measure in lifting a cabin over a building.

Re-assessment is essential however to determine if the lowest reasonable/acceptable level of control is achieved.

Bob
Garfield Esq  
#9 Posted : 08 October 2012 22:42:01(UTC)
Rank: Super forum user
Garfield Esq

quote=rich777]All of my risk assessments carry the Harm x Likelihood matrix (I use 1-3 for harm and 1 - for likelihood). I start with the hazards and score them, then list control measures then a Residual Risk matrix.

A senior manager has questioned the validity of the first matrix where the scores will be high for significant hazards. I have stated these scores are subjective and my interpretation if no control measures exist.

My question is this: Can a risk assessment be written down without using a scoring matrix or the terms Low, Medium and High if the hazard is stated and the control measure is adequate?

Thanks

Rich[Hi Rich, as others have pointed out there is no legal requirement to use a scoring matrix in risk assessment methodology, however it can be useful as a learning tool and/or when determining risk in complex situations. I have witnessed many an occasion when the assessor has changed the original outcome because it doesn't fit into scoring system (me included). I recall when undertaking my PgC a few years ago, my Tutor, would not accept an RA with a numerical scoring matrix, commenting "if you need to multiply 5X3 to determine the risk of a task then you shouldn't be on this course and have no concept of what an RA is!" I felt at the time that everything I had been taught was worthless, however in some ways I do see his point. My own view is use what works for you and make sure that all affected agree with the outcome and crucially have been involved in the process. Good luck]

.
Clairel  
#10 Posted : 09 October 2012 11:20:16(UTC)
Rank: Super forum user
Clairel

Being as I was trained by the HSE I very much have the same opinion as them that numerical scoring systems are arbitary. Worse they can be confusing and manipulated.

At most I would use High Medium and Low. With high meaning significant action required, medium meaning on going monitoring of the situation required and low meaning risk is adequately controlled and requires little intervention (infrequent IMO).

I understand why people use numbering systems but I hate them, I have seen them manipulated too many times to justify not taking further action. It's also a bit akin to the green label on equipment that has been subject to PAT - people take it as the green light to assume the equipment is safe. A low numerical score gives a false sense of security. Much better to concentrate on whether the risk is being adequately controlled.
Jake  
#11 Posted : 09 October 2012 11:44:40(UTC)
Rank: Super forum user
Jake

Unless you are conducting a fully qualitative risk assessment, scoring really is only useful for prioritisation of actions and enabling the easy identification of those tasks that require on-going monitoring.

I personally think, for the above reasons, they are a useful tool. But it's important to remain aware that that is all they are achieving, and that as already stated the most important part of the risk assessment is the methods of risk reduction required to be implemented.
Stedman  
#12 Posted : 09 October 2012 12:59:26(UTC)
Rank: Super forum user
Stedman

Risk matrixes are frequently discussed on this forum, however whilst the HSE have grasped that mathematically this concept does not work and therefore correctly dropped this from their guidance, I cannot understand why the majority of safety practitioners are not up to date and quoting current available research on this matter.
boblewis  
#13 Posted : 09 October 2012 18:22:47(UTC)
Rank: Super forum user
boblewis

I still do not understand however how one multiplies Low by Medium etc etc. For this reason alone I would avoid such terms - the HSE have in my view only adopted this stance in an attempt to try and make RA simple. It fits with their 5 Step, in reality 7 step, RA process. The mathematics are perhaps arbritary BUT they are often better than nothing as a first order estimate to guide further control selection and prioritisation.

Unless you have statistical failure rates NO mathematical model will give a proper quantitative measure of failure likelihood/potential.

Bob
RayRapp  
#14 Posted : 09 October 2012 19:39:24(UTC)
Rank: Super forum user
RayRapp

stedman wrote:
Risk matrixes are frequently discussed on this forum, however whilst the HSE have grasped that mathematically this concept does not work and therefore correctly dropped this from their guidance, I cannot understand why the majority of safety practitioners are not up to date and quoting current available research on this matter.


Industry has adopted the use of a risk matrix as part of the SSoW and without one many companies would question the validity of the documentation. Indeed, I know of some corporate clients who will not accept a Method Statement without a 5x5 risk matrix attached.
Garfield Esq  
#15 Posted : 09 October 2012 23:03:02(UTC)
Rank: Super forum user
Garfield Esq

Clairel wrote:
Being as I was trained by the HSE I very much have the same opinion as them that numerical scoring systems are arbitary. Worse they can be confusing and manipulated.

At most I would use High Medium and Low. With high meaning significant action required, medium meaning on going monitoring of the situation required and low meaning risk is adequately controlled and requires little intervention (infrequent IMO).

I understand why people use numbering systems but I hate them, I have seen them manipulated too many times to justify not taking further action. It's also a bit akin to the green label on equipment that has been subject to PAT - people take it as the green light to assume the equipment is safe. A low numerical score gives a false sense of security. Much better to concentrate on whether the risk is being adequately controlled.


I rarely use numerical risk calculation when carrying out RAs, all due to my 'teacher', who was at the time, an HSE Principle Officer. RA methodology can be over-engineered at times...
Garfield Esq  
#16 Posted : 09 October 2012 23:05:10(UTC)
Rank: Super forum user
Garfield Esq

RayRapp wrote:
stedman wrote:
Risk matrixes are frequently discussed on this forum, however whilst the HSE have grasped that mathematically this concept does not work and therefore correctly dropped this from their guidance, I cannot understand why the majority of safety practitioners are not up to date and quoting current available research on this matter.


Industry has adopted the use of a risk matrix as part of the SSoW and without one many companies would question the validity of the documentation. Indeed, I know of some corporate clients who will not accept a Method Statement without a 5x5 risk matrix attached.


Aviation, O&G, Maritime...All matixfied!
DaisyMaisy  
#17 Posted : 10 October 2012 14:46:23(UTC)
Rank: Forum user
DaisyMaisy

high , medium, low every time!
JJ Prendergast  
#18 Posted : 10 October 2012 15:30:51(UTC)
Rank: Super forum user
JJ Prendergast

I think one of the reasons the oil & gas sector uses numerical risk assessment and QRA is that there is much more information available through various databases, that can be used to provide some basis of accuracy when undertaking risk assessments - (note NOT precise accuracy).

For example, obviously the main concerns in oil & gas is the loss of containment/leaks from pipes and vessels etc.

There are numerous databases that record reported leaks in terms of pipe size and system pressures etc.

So the histroical data can be used to estimate probabilities of leaks and failures etc in new designs etc.
MrsBlue  
#19 Posted : 10 October 2012 15:58:11(UTC)
Rank: Guest
Guest

Thanks for all the replies - most illuminating.

Do you experts out there favour risk assessments taking account of control measures in place, or

do you risk assessment the "worse case scenario"

There is a huge difference to the scores on the doors between the two methods.

Rich
jontyjohnston  
#20 Posted : 10 October 2012 16:17:21(UTC)
Rank: Super forum user
jontyjohnston

Rich

Only look at worst case scenarios when doing a HAZOP. In general assessments lets keep a sense of proportion and look at most likely outcome!

In terms of the control measures there are different approaches.

If I was reviewing a risk assessment for a proposed activity e.g. work on a roof, I would expect to see evidence that the control measures were adequate to mitigate the risk and this should be reflected in the risk rating BEFORE I would let the activity take place.

If I went to conduct a risk assessment for a process e.g. the primary crusher in a quarry, I would assess the risks with the current controls in place, which might not be adequate reflected in a significant risk score.

But the process has to work for you!

Jake  
#21 Posted : 10 October 2012 16:35:13(UTC)
Rank: Super forum user
Jake

We only document the findings of the assessment with controls in place, to keep the assessments simple. You can document the risk before and then after controls are put in place, but I see little advantage in doing so.

The methods of risk reduction are the important things! By keeping the assessment simple, focus is placed on reading these.

In practice, this means all risk assessments are conducted in advance of tasks occurring, if a task doesn't have an acceptable risk assessment, then it doesn't occur and if it is found to be, stopped immediately etc. The result of this is that none of our risk assessments are what we would class as "High" risk (if a task were to be assessed as such, it would not occur / would be prohibited in any case, therefore no point having an assessment for a task that is not completed!).
gordonhawkins  
#22 Posted : 10 October 2012 16:36:42(UTC)
Rank: Forum user
gordonhawkins

I've always wondered why IOSH continue to promote matrices on their training courses (Managing Safely etc) when the use of such matrices is demonstrably subjective. There is no definitive way to quantify risk, so surely its better to adopt the HSE approach-identify the risk, control it (by reference to legal standards etc), train people affected and monitor to ensure that the controls remain in place.

As for Ray's point-I understand that some organisations require a numbering system, but this approach is inherently flawed and used to satisfy their own management systems, which are probably not up to date with current thinking or more concerned with covering posteriors than genuinely addressing health and safety concerns (cynical old me!)
RayRapp  
#23 Posted : 10 October 2012 17:53:36(UTC)
Rank: Super forum user
RayRapp

Gordon

Excellent point, I have argued for a long time that respected institutions like IOSH, IIRSM, HSE and others should get off the fence and proclaim many health and safety issues unnecessary and/or a blight on industry. So far the silence has been deafening. So engrossed the HSE are appeasing their paymasters and the former with corporate initiatives.
Zimmy  
#24 Posted : 10 October 2012 18:55:00(UTC)
Rank: Super forum user
Zimmy

I have been working on a 5x5 RA system for weeks and have come to the following:

They are ok for trying to explain the possess of my choice of control measures to the electricians I look after. I state the 'risk' before and after the measures are in place. It may well be that the 5x5 is not required, in the world of the H&S pro, but the lads think is pretty much ok as it shows the thoughts that have gone into measures put in place. Perhaps with a different mix of personnel the result would be not be the same.

I would very much appreciate any advice on this one private of otherwise.
pete48  
#25 Posted : 10 October 2012 21:28:15(UTC)
Rank: Super forum user
pete48

Yes it can be written down without any numbers or the use of low, medium, high. If you take a look at business risk processes you will find examples of matrices and they usually have the similar x/y potential loss/likelihood of occurrence matrix. However, they then have instructions such as “continuous improvement required” “control as far as” “tolerability to be agreed by mgmt” etc and not the rather semantic low/ medium/ high ratings. (just search on G images under “risk assessment matrix” and lose an hour of your life as you scan through them all) This drives decisions to ensure that adequate controls are applied to each risk.
I am convinced that the dogmatic use of simplistic risk assessment processes as originally outlined by the HSE nearly 20 years ago is one reason why managers and others often cannot relate to the process of risk management. When placed alongside a belief that the only risk assessment that is required is a task based risk assessment it makes strategic management of H&S risks nigh on impossible for managers.
Using a model that matches more closely to those commonly used in other business risks is, in my experience, very effective at gaining understanding especially at middle and senior levels. Put that together with some strategic or benchmark risk assessments of the types and size of potential hazards which could have a significant impact on the whole organisation and you have something that really works.
I learnt my basic risk management well before 1992/1993 and followed five different steps where the assessment is but one element.
1. Identify all risks to which the company is exposed.
2. Determine the level of each risk.
3. Take measures to reduce the risks identified as unacceptable to acceptable.
4. Ensure constant monitoring of risks and levels of risk using appropriate tools.
5. Ensure that each individual risk is well managed and that a decision has been taken to Tolerate (accept), Treat (minimise), Transfer or Terminate each risk.

p48
Jeff Watt  
#26 Posted : 11 October 2012 00:28:21(UTC)
Rank: Forum user
Jeff Watt

I think zimmy and pete48 have hit on a couple of good points both related to communication and justification of the risk assessment to others.

The matrix serves as a way of showing your "working out" for the calculation that the teacher set for homework, this was my thought process at the time, heres how I got to the answer.

That said I do not like them but sometimes use them because the audience feels familiar with a matrix. Keep the customer satisfied.

messyshaw  
#27 Posted : 11 October 2012 02:52:45(UTC)
Rank: Super forum user
messyshaw

I have given up on providing a risk matrix recently on my fire risk assessments. I believe that most of my customers were confused by it and all many of them wanted to know was what they needed to do, and in what order.

Now I used a RAG system (red yellow and green) on a table containing a summary of findings to indicate action priority, and include a column with a suggested time scale in which any changes should be made.

The change I have adopted is due to the fact that my end users/customers are not H&S professions. They are busy butchers, bakers and candlestick makers who want to comply & keep their staff safe, but don't want to spend time interpreting a complex matrix or report.

I appreciate that for those working in civil engineering, or gas & oil where there is more of an understanding of H&S, a matrix system is workable, but for many SMEs, perhaps it's superfluous
NEE' ONIONS MATE!  
#28 Posted : 11 October 2012 14:34:42(UTC)
Rank: Forum user
NEE' ONIONS MATE!

Clairel wrote:
Being as I was trained by the HSE I very much have the same opinion as them that numerical scoring systems are arbitary. Worse they can be confusing and manipulated.

At most I would use High Medium and Low. With high meaning significant action required, medium meaning on going monitoring of the situation required and low meaning risk is adequately controlled and requires little intervention (infrequent IMO).

I understand why people use numbering systems but I hate them, I have seen them manipulated too many times to justify not taking further action. It's also a bit akin to the green label on equipment that has been subject to PAT - people take it as the green light to assume the equipment is safe. A low numerical score gives a false sense of security. Much better to concentrate on whether the risk is being adequately controlled.



Quite interesting this. From my own experience, the ORR (formally part of the HSE/HMRI) are very driven by quantification of risk which they want to examine in detail for many alarp justifications we make - the aim seems to be (I presume a government driven thing) to demonstrate through numbers that there is a cost benefit. The regulator is sometimes the worst offender at tying risk up in numbers to force a company/industrty down a certain route.
gordonhawkins  
#29 Posted : 11 October 2012 16:07:47(UTC)
Rank: Forum user
gordonhawkins

On a practical level using a matrix can often lead to conflict and argument-particularly when one's boss doesn't want to spend money! For example I used to work for a large logistics company and would say to my site manager that such and such presented a high risk of injury as I'd done the assessment and the numbers said so ( I was quite inexperienced then!). He would obviously respond that in his experience this was not so and I was wrong and to go and do the assessment again until I came up with the "correct" score. After about a month I stopped this approach and instead began to email him, saying we were in breach of the following regulations and at risk of hurting someone-and he would be responsible-his response would always then be to get it sorted out (but at the lowest cost). To my mind this shows precisely the problems with matrices-they are subjective and can be argued about-illustrations of breaches of legislation or non-conformance with Industry standards are far better methods of both assessing and controlling risk
boblewis  
#30 Posted : 11 October 2012 19:25:37(UTC)
Rank: Super forum user
boblewis

Unless we are dealing with know mathematical quantities ALL risk assessments are subjective. We cannot achieve definitive answers just as we cannot definitively prove we actually exist. What we can do is train well to get a higher degree of intersubjective agreement when two or more people assess a task. In the real world eliminating each risk such that the legal minmum standard for each at least is achieved can never prevent ALL accidents and injuries. Life is not that simple.

Bob
jontyjohnston  
#31 Posted : 15 October 2012 15:57:00(UTC)
Rank: Super forum user
jontyjohnston

Well said Bob!

Past experience - guy in welding centre nips finger nail in clamp on a fixture he was tightening himself = 3 days off work = claim. We had looked at the fixture as part of the risk assessment and deemed it insignificant compared to the manual handling, the OH jib and lifting tackle, the robot welder he was operating, weld fumes, etc!

The County Court judge hearing his case wanted to know how we had determined the fixture presented no significant risk, we explained the process which did not include matrices, he awarded the claim on the basis we could produce no evidence of the evaluative assessment of the risk, significant or otherwise?!

You just cant win!
sadlass  
#32 Posted : 16 October 2012 00:10:39(UTC)
Rank: Forum user
sadlass

Civil claims don't always go the way you might expect! RA is mainly to cover the statutory requirement, no guarantee any method will defend a civil action - just the way it is.
A 3 day lost time (presumably claim brought because you don't do sick pay) ending up in court sounds unusual anyway.
Don't take it personally!
jontyjohnston  
#33 Posted : 16 October 2012 09:49:45(UTC)
Rank: Super forum user
jontyjohnston

Learned not to take anything personally a long time ago sadlass!

The company at the time has a terrible claims culture, not helped by the insurers who paid most claims like this off as nuisance claims!

For that company, in Northern Ireland, this type of claim was very common (and we did pay sick pay!).

Took 5 years of hard work to turn it around......
boblewis  
#34 Posted : 16 October 2012 10:52:02(UTC)
Rank: Super forum user
boblewis

I am not saying no evaluation should take place but merely stating that we have to be aware of limitations. Personally I think any assessment using L, Mor H will always be difficult to justify to a judge. The teerms Insignificant, Acceptable, Tolerable, and Intolerable etc do have some meaning but only if you can derive numerical boundaries for each statement via a matrix use of some format.

In actual use I actually assign intolerable decisions to board level for a decision with successively lower levels of management dealing with lower order risks. Let us not forget that in some risk situations, not safety necessarily, a board may see such as the financial risk as Intolerable but still do it for the potential rewards. It is called cost - benefit analysis - a widely practised art!!

Bob
jontyjohnston  
#35 Posted : 16 October 2012 13:07:45(UTC)
Rank: Super forum user
jontyjohnston

Sound words again Bob.

I use a matrix now, as it seems the norm! But as you say it provides a context for the terms, the point the learned judge was making.

Love CBA, recently finished that module for my MSc, definitely an art!

Jonty
JohnW  
#36 Posted : 18 October 2012 10:51:07(UTC)
Rank: Super forum user
JohnW

I use a matrix with customers who like them, but, as with ClaireL's preference, the result will be Low Medium or High risk, not complicated numer.

A number matrix can be used to get that result, but the numbers have to mean something.

Likelihood category: not just:

1 Not likely
2 Possible
3 Quite possible
4 Likely
5 Very likely

but more detail like

1 Not likely: Only in exceptional circumstances would there be an accident. Occurrence very unlikely.

2 Possible: Several factors need to be present for an accident.

3 Quite possible:Under normal conditions an accident or harmful exposure will not occur – some abnormality or fault is necessary to cause it.

4 Likely: Under prevailing conditions an accident will be very difficult to avoid, or long-term damage may occur e.g. hearing loss, hand-arm vibration syndrome, respiratory problems.

5 Very likely: If conditions continue unchanged, an accident is almost certain to occur or long-term health damage will occur.

Similarly the matrix uses descriptions for severity, from a scratch, to a burn, HAVS, hearing loss etc, up to fatality.

JohnW
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