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Jai Parakas Naidu  
#1 Posted : 10 June 2015 08:43:34(UTC)
Rank: New forum user
Jai Parakas Naidu

In a risk assessment, can the severity rate change once additional control measures are in place? To my understanding severity rate remains unchanged only the Likelihood will be reduced. Do enlighten me.
achrn  
#2 Posted : 10 June 2015 09:01:23(UTC)
Rank: Super forum user
achrn

This is fairly regularly asked. If you can make the search work you might find previous discussions.

To my mind the severity can change. For example, if you've got work at height then airbags might be a control measure. Clearly these don't affect the chance of falling, they affect the severity of the consequence of the fall.
jodieclark1510  
#3 Posted : 10 June 2015 09:03:50(UTC)
Rank: Super forum user
jodieclark1510

I agree and I was going to use a similar analogy. I think it is dependent on the hazard as well as the control measures in place
RayRapp  
#4 Posted : 10 June 2015 09:16:27(UTC)
Rank: Super forum user
RayRapp

I also agree, the trick is to look at the hazard and consider the consequences if the control should fail for whatever reason. In the case of PPE it might reduce the severity or have no difference to the consequence. For example, wearing hi-vis may protect you from being struck by a moving vehicle, but if it does not, then the severity will be the same as whether you are wearing it or not. Whereas wearing a glove may protect you from a hand injury, but it may only reduce the severity of the injury.
Animax01  
#5 Posted : 10 June 2015 10:37:07(UTC)
Rank: Super forum user
Animax01

I would also agree, the severity rate can change. For instance, working at height on a platform. If the control measure was to remove the requirement for this work to be done or for it to happen at ground level, then the severity would be nil.

Now just to find these miracle control measures!!
chris.packham  
#6 Posted : 10 June 2015 13:56:28(UTC)
Rank: Super forum user
chris.packham

In some cases failure of the control measures might actually increase the severity compared with had no such measures been implemented. For example, due to the damage to the skin which significantly impairs the skin's barrier properties when chemical protection gloves are worn for anything more than a short period any failure due to permeation or penetration could actually increase the damage to health compared with what would have been the case had no gloves been worn in the first place. I have seen many such situations where gloves have been worn for much longer than their real performance limits (not necessarily the same as what is stated in the manufacturers' data).
Chris
alistair  
#7 Posted : 10 June 2015 15:34:20(UTC)
Rank: Forum user
alistair

Always an interesting debate this one, especially the hi-vis issue. Will the severity always be the same? I would disagree. If the driver sees the hi-vis and applies the brakes earlier than he might if hi-vis was not been worn, but still hits the person, the collision would be at a lower speed and the severity may be reduced.
wclark1238  
#8 Posted : 10 June 2015 15:54:04(UTC)
Rank: Forum user
wclark1238

Alistair wrote:
Always an interesting debate this one, especially the hi-vis issue. Will the severity always be the same? I would disagree. If the driver sees the hi-vis and applies the brakes earlier than he might if hi-vis was not been worn, but still hits the person, the collision would be at a lower speed and the severity may be reduced.


I take your point but would suggest that the use of hi-vis in this type of scenario has much more of an impact (pun intended) on the likelihood of the mishap occurring. Hi-vis should make the 'victim' more visible therefore the chance of him/her becoming a statistic is reduced.

I can see that the donning of hi-vis might allow for a reduced consequence argument too but I think by far the more significant change would be to the likelihood.
jay  
#9 Posted : 10 June 2015 16:23:43(UTC)
Rank: Super forum user
jay

Typically,

Prevention controls are typically directed at reducing the likelihood of the scenario

Alerting controls (alarms) typically provide indication that an abnormal situation is developing and provide an opportunity to intervene. Alerting measures may be preventing or mitigating.

Mitigation controls are typically directed at reducing the consequences of the scenario
alistair  
#10 Posted : 10 June 2015 16:25:58(UTC)
Rank: Forum user
alistair

I agree - so Its a win - win situation so to speak as the likelihood AND severity are affected. Not such a win - win for the wearer if they still get hit though!

As an aside, I actually had a manager say to me that his staff don't really need hi-vis now because people / drivers have been seeing them for so many years now that they are "immune" to them and they don't increase visibility of the person wearing them any longer ! Another interesting one, but we have agreed to disagree.
andybz  
#11 Posted : 10 June 2015 17:26:34(UTC)
Rank: Super forum user
andybz

I can't believe I am reading here that hi-vis can reduce the potential severity of an incident (vehicle vs person). Severity can only be reduced by reducing the hazard.

Please look at previous discussions on this topic. Things said on this thread so far do not reflect the usual consensus.
toe  
#12 Posted : 10 June 2015 19:05:33(UTC)
Rank: Super forum user
toe

I'm with Andy on this one.

How can you possible state that by wearing Hi-Viz is an adequate control measure to protect against severity - because it doesn't. Just because you were lucky enough for the vehicle to be slowing down when it hit you, should not be expectation that this will always be the case. For example:

No hi viz worn L=5 and S=5 - Risk level 25
Wearing hi viz L=3 and S=5 - Risk level 15

In my view severity remain the same for the risk assessment proses. I'm not saying that if a vehicle slows before it hit you the severity wont change (lots of other factors to consider also), what I'm saying is you cannot state in your RA that wearing hi-viz reduces severity.
Jai Parakas Naidu  
#13 Posted : 11 June 2015 01:51:08(UTC)
Rank: New forum user
Jai Parakas Naidu

I would agree with both Andy & Toe.

Even if u wear a hi-Viz which is a additional control measure, i would say that severity rate won't change it would only reduce the likelihood of the accident happening. Even if the driver slows down and still a collision happens the possibility of fatality is there.

My point here is severity would remain the same and won't change.

Thank you all for the replies.
RayRapp  
#14 Posted : 11 June 2015 08:06:37(UTC)
Rank: Super forum user
RayRapp

wclark1238 wrote:
Alistair wrote:
Always an interesting debate this one, especially the hi-vis issue. Will the severity always be the same? I would disagree. If the driver sees the hi-vis and applies the brakes earlier than he might if hi-vis was not been worn, but still hits the person, the collision would be at a lower speed and the severity may be reduced.


I take your point but would suggest that the use of hi-vis in this type of scenario has much more of an impact (pun intended) on the likelihood of the mishap occurring. Hi-vis should make the 'victim' more visible therefore the chance of him/her becoming a statistic is reduced.

I can see that the donning of hi-vis might allow for a reduced consequence argument too but I think by far the more significant change would be to the likelihood.


Of course you could argue that the vehicle driver may swerve to miss the operative wearing the hi-vis and hit someone else, or some infrastructure and damage...it never ends. Hence the need to be sensible about RAs and their usefulness as a control to identify the significant risks. RAs cannot foresee every eventuality.
Ian Bell  
#15 Posted : 11 June 2015 08:19:40(UTC)
Rank: Super forum user
Ian Bell

Jai Parakas Naidu wrote:
I would agree with both Andy & Toe.

i would say that severity rate won't change it would only reduce the likelihood of the accident happening. Even if the driver slows down and still a collision happens the possibility of fatality is there.

My point here is severity would remain the same and won't change.



Well that defies the laws of physics.
While a fatality is always possible, the severity of injury is highly dependent upon the impact energy, as the energy of impact is given by the classic equation E = 1/2mv^2.

Are you risk assessing for the worst case outcome or the most likely outcome?
If you research the topic, you can find data for the risk of a pedestrian fatality for a speed of impact.

From memory above about 40mph, nearly always fatal.

How many times do we see blanket PPE rules, which are less than effective/required for the risks.

The other week, I was at a fuel distribution depot (large tank farm) - the site visit was well away from vehicles on a grassed area, open ground, daylight hours. Still had to wear a hard hat, eye protection and a high vis vest..... so what happened to risk assessment??
Ian Bell  
#16 Posted : 11 June 2015 08:43:53(UTC)
Rank: Super forum user
Ian Bell

Following the 'logic' of wearing a high vis jacket when near to moving vehicles..... how come we don't require pedestrains to wear high vis jackets when walking down your typical high street with traffic only a few feet away?
ashleywillson  
#17 Posted : 11 June 2015 09:03:16(UTC)
Rank: Super forum user
ashleywillson

Alistair wrote:
Always an interesting debate this one, especially the hi-vis issue. Will the severity always be the same? I would disagree. If the driver sees the hi-vis and applies the brakes earlier than he might if hi-vis was not been worn, but still hits the person, the collision would be at a lower speed and the severity may be reduced.


I see where you are coming from with this argument, however I think this is overthinking it. A high vis jacket is not there to protect the user from physical damage. Therefore, in my opinion, it can only ever reduce the likelihood not the severity.

On the flip side of that coin, a hard hat will only ever reduce the severity. Wearing a hard hat will not make it less likely that one your esteemed colleagues working on that scaffold drops a tool which hits you on the head, but it will absorb some of the impact. Thus the severity is reduced but not the likelihood.

In my experience, this is where most people fall down with their risk assessing. For example they might say:
Hazard: Falling object - Sev: 5, Prob: 5 = 25
Control: Hard Hat (re-assess risk) - Sev: 3, Prob 3 = 9

They reduce the probability where it will be unaffected, so that second line should read:
Control: Hard Hat (re-assess risk) - Sev: 3, Prob 5 = 15
(Forgive me if I am preaching to the converted...)

Of course they may be controls which reduce the probability and the severity but these are not easy to come by and it is for this reason that one control is never adequate. To use my above example of a falling tool, there is no way any H&S professional would ever say "Ah stick a hard hat on that will do for that hazard!", no, we insist on toe boards, lanyards, training and hard hats - all of those controls reduce the severity and the probability. Never be content with reducing one without the other, I always try as best I can to reduce both!!
RayRapp  
#18 Posted : 11 June 2015 09:15:00(UTC)
Rank: Super forum user
RayRapp

Ian Bell wrote:
Following the 'logic' of wearing a high vis jacket when near to moving vehicles..... how come we don't require pedestrains to wear high vis jackets when walking down your typical high street with traffic only a few feet away?


If a 20 ton excavator ran over you it would not really matter what speed it's doing!

If we become even more risk averse as a society then it won't be long before pedestrians are issued with hi-vis jackets. That said, PPE is the last resort. So perhaps road vehicles should be restricted to 4mph with someone walking in front of the vehicle with a flag!
Ian Bell  
#19 Posted : 11 June 2015 09:31:44(UTC)
Rank: Super forum user
Ian Bell

Ray - I quite agree - hence the 'm' in the equation E = 1/2mv^2
David Bannister  
#20 Posted : 11 June 2015 09:44:31(UTC)
Rank: Super forum user
David Bannister

Ian. Ray, sadly, hi-vis apparel is so commonplace that we are not that far off the scenario you suggest.

I do chuckle to myself when I see snakes of schoolkids on the pavements all wearing their yellow tabards and wonder how I have got to my age without being hit many times by murderous vehicles as I have never worn hi-vis for venturing out on to the dangerous pavements, nor even when daring to cross a road.

And why does nearly every commercial vehicle driver seem to be wearing them whilst doing 56mph on the motorway? They are unlikely to be made of breathable materials and totally unnecessary until they get down from the cab at the delivery depot.
Ian Bell  
#21 Posted : 11 June 2015 11:09:37(UTC)
Rank: Super forum user
Ian Bell

A nice summary here for the risk of pedestrain fatality probability from vehicle impact speed.

http://www.who.int/viole...orld_report/speed_en.pdf

For construction/vehicle yard areas - I think bigger risk factors per se are standing behind reversing vehicles, standing in blind spots for drivers/pedestrains/trap points, un expected movement of vehicles.

If you can't be seen, a hi vis jacket isn't going to save you from being crushed.

alistair  
#22 Posted : 11 June 2015 12:42:19(UTC)
Rank: Forum user
alistair

To be honest, I was just making a point regarding the physics of the situation. As I am sure you all know - Hi-vis alone should never be depended on to bring the likelihood or severity numbers down irrespective of whether you give them numbers 3, 4, 5 or n. Traffic management and operator training are the primary control measures for the type of work we are talking about.
Praveen Varma  
#23 Posted : 27 June 2016 20:05:31(UTC)
Rank: New forum user
Praveen Varma

Hi all,

Though it is quite old topic seen by me today. My response to this goes as follows:

Risk = Severity x Likelihood

The Risk reduced by reduction of any of these two i.e. Severity or Likelihood.

Now it is important to understand the difference between Risk and Hazard. In the earlier example quoted of person got struck to vehicle, the hazard is vehicle and risk is getting injured. Now you can eliminate any one of the thing to make thing safer.

To remove / reduce the hazard, you can have underground / overground crossing of road, foot path with protection railing etc etc. With these type of control measure you are reducing / eliminating hazard hence likelihood will get changed and at the same time the severity will also get changed.

To remove / reduce the risk, you can have zebra crossing, Hi-vis, speed breakers etc. In such type of control the person still get hit by vehicle but the quantum of injury will be quite low as the speed of vehicle may be low in such cases. Hence this will keep likelihood same but severity will reduce.

Finally if you are removing the hazard itself then likelihood and severity both will affected and if you are reducing the risk then only severity will change.

Similarly for other example of working at height. The Hazard is working at height and risk is falling from the height.

In this case the Hazard can be removed by providing working platform or carrying out the job at ground level. With such control measure the likelihood will change along with the severity.

However if the control measure is just safety harness, safety net etc then the likelihood will remain same and only severity will change.

So always look at the risk from this angle, while making the risk assessment.
Safety Smurf  
#24 Posted : 28 June 2016 11:20:54(UTC)
Rank: Super forum user
Safety Smurf

Jai Parakas Naidu wrote:
In a risk assessment, can the severity rate change once additional control measures are in place? To my understanding severity rate remains unchanged only the Likelihood will be reduced. Do enlighten me.


It depends on whether your control is intended to reduce the likelihood of an undesirable event happening or limit it's consequences. In the instance of P.P.E, yes it can reduce severity.

In the instance of Hi-Vis clothing, I don't think it should be classed as P.P.E in the first place.
RayRapp  
#25 Posted : 28 June 2016 12:18:29(UTC)
Rank: Super forum user
RayRapp

Smurf, if hi-vis clothing is not classified as PPE, what would it be classified as?
Safety Smurf  
#26 Posted : 28 June 2016 13:19:24(UTC)
Rank: Super forum user
Safety Smurf

RayRapp wrote:
Smurf, if hi-vis clothing is not classified as PPE, what would it be classified as?


I suppose for administrative purposes it has to be classed as P.P.E I just don't think it offers any protection.
dave.hazell  
#27 Posted : 30 June 2016 19:31:28(UTC)
Rank: New forum user
dave.hazell

Safety Smurf wrote:
RayRapp wrote:
Smurf, if hi-vis clothing is not classified as PPE, what would it be classified as?


I suppose for administrative purposes it has to be classed as P.P.E I just don't think it offers any protection.



Nonsense ... a Hi Viz vest makes you invincible instead of invisible, every desk jockey knows that! ;-)
Roundtuit  
#28 Posted : 30 June 2016 20:15:58(UTC)
Rank: Super forum user
Roundtuit

During site inductions the script now tends to be "the Hi-Vis you are being asked to wear by our corporate policy won't stop the FLT from hitting you, but it will protect the value of your payout in event of a claim"

Given the tatty, non-reflective, grease sodden garments some contractors and visitors cheerily arrive with (whilst their desk jockey H&S Manager happily shuffles his signed company PPE issue forms) the anecdotal evidence is correct Hi-Vis should not be considered PPE as many companies fail to monitor and maintain the issued device.
Roundtuit  
#29 Posted : 30 June 2016 20:15:58(UTC)
Rank: Super forum user
Roundtuit

During site inductions the script now tends to be "the Hi-Vis you are being asked to wear by our corporate policy won't stop the FLT from hitting you, but it will protect the value of your payout in event of a claim"

Given the tatty, non-reflective, grease sodden garments some contractors and visitors cheerily arrive with (whilst their desk jockey H&S Manager happily shuffles his signed company PPE issue forms) the anecdotal evidence is correct Hi-Vis should not be considered PPE as many companies fail to monitor and maintain the issued device.
Sunil Kr Yadav  
#30 Posted : 15 July 2016 19:42:37(UTC)
Rank: New forum user
Sunil Kr Yadav

To my mind it depends on the control measure one is applying and accordingly it will affect severity or likelihood.
Considering previous example and various views on same, one thing is sure that one cannot bluntly say that only severity or only likelihood or both will change. It depends on type of control measure considered.
For instance generally in case of use of PPE's severity will be reduced but not always.
To my understanding generally preventive control measures leads to reduced likelihood & mitigative control measures leads to reduced severity.
David Thomas  
#31 Posted : 17 July 2016 08:13:53(UTC)
Rank: Forum user
David Thomas

This lengthy thread takes me back 18 years to my first cieh risk assessment course .. Far too much time debating around qualitative risk assessment. Anyone with a level maths understands quantitative risk assessment regarding probability etc.,



love the phrase 'desk jockey'....
JohnW  
#32 Posted : 18 July 2016 12:12:02(UTC)
Rank: Super forum user
JohnW

In a normal traffic situation or on a construction site, I'm not sure hi-vis can be assured of reducing severity - whatever speed the collision, worst case scenario, the pedestrian could still strike his head on a kerb and die.

So the severity is the highest number in your matrix!
WatsonD  
#33 Posted : 18 July 2016 12:20:34(UTC)
Rank: Super forum user
WatsonD

JohnW wrote:
In a normal traffic situation or on a construction site, I'm not sure hi-vis can be assured of reducing severity - whatever speed the collision, worst case scenario, the pedestrian could still strike his head on a kerb and die.

So the severity is the highest number in your matrix!


And, if you are not careful you will end up putting that every possible risk could result in death, thus rendering the whole process a complete and utter waste of time
sadlass  
#34 Posted : 18 July 2016 13:06:53(UTC)
Rank: Forum user
sadlass

WatsonD.
Exactly!

If 'risk assessment' was thrown out tomorrow, (leaving the HSWA duties) would hi-viz still make sense? That is the only real question.
JohnW  
#35 Posted : 18 July 2016 14:19:21(UTC)
Rank: Super forum user
JohnW

WatsonD wrote:

And, if you are not careful you will end up putting that every possible risk could result in death, thus rendering the whole process a complete and utter waste of time


Watson & sadlass,

Not at all. If you do a RA properly you do what's reasonable, significant risks, and with any traffic accident I think it is reasonable to expect the worst case, unless you're in a desert!
andybz  
#36 Posted : 18 July 2016 14:53:23(UTC)
Rank: Super forum user
andybz

Another post (#29) in this thread saying PPE can reduce severity. I totally disagree.

Also, there is absolutely no problem with considering the worst case scenario for severity in your assessment, because this will be combined with likelihood to give you the risk. It may be the case that this is the highest risk; but it is equally possible that minor severity incidents with high frequency are considered the more significant risk. You should not be only looking at one scenario. Only by looking at a range can you fully appreciate the risk. In many cases the controls you put in place to protect against high severity/low frequency incidents may be different to the ones you put in place for the low severity/high frequency ones.
WatsonD  
#37 Posted : 18 July 2016 14:53:28(UTC)
Rank: Super forum user
WatsonD

JohnW wrote:
I think it is reasonable to expect the worst case, unless you're in a desert!



Firstly, I'm not sure why being in a desert would alter the severity of a collision with a vehicle? Likelihood - yes; severity - no.

Secondly, it is very sloppy work to just simply accept the worst case scenario and move on. This just assumes that everyone hit by a car simply dies no matter the circumstances (e.g speed, etc), thus rendering the whole process a complete and utter waste of time.

Excerpt from RAC website showing fatalities as accounting for less than 1%:

There were 1,732 people killed in road accidents reported to the police in 2015.

The number of people seriously injured in reported road traffic accidents decreased by 3 per cent to 22,137 in 2015, compared with 2014.

There were a total of 186,209 casualties of all severities in 2015.


- See more at: http://www.racfoundation.../motoring-faqs/safety#a1

David Bannister  
#38 Posted : 18 July 2016 15:10:24(UTC)
Rank: Super forum user
David Bannister

andybz wrote:
Another post (#29) in this thread saying PPE can reduce severity. I totally disagree.


Consider a brick dropping 6 metres. If it lands on an unprotected head the result will be more severe than landing on a hard-hatted head.

95dB(A) Lep,d over a period of time will produce more severe effect than 80dB(A) Lep,d experienced by the worker with good hearing protection.

The laboratory worker getting a face splash of caustic liquid will be much better off with a face shield.

And these examples are merely representative.
JohnW  
#39 Posted : 18 July 2016 15:30:56(UTC)
Rank: Super forum user
JohnW

WatsonD wrote:

Firstly, I'm not sure why being in a desert would alter the severity of a collision with a vehicle?


Please pay attention, there are no kerbs to bang your head on in the desert :0)


Quote:
Secondly, it is very sloppy work to just simply accept the worst case ....



Oi ! How dare you.

And forget all those statistics, because we here are talking about traffic in the workplace, and we have people driving FLT's, HGVs, dumper trucks, white vans and visitors who might not know which gate to use .....

Please, I'm not in a Monty Python mood :0

WatsonD  
#40 Posted : 18 July 2016 16:01:52(UTC)
Rank: Super forum user
WatsonD

We shall agree to disagree then John.

I could point out that not all workplaces outside of the desert have a kerb, and those that do have clearly defined pedestrian routes.

"we here are talking about traffic in the workplace, and we have people driving FLT's, HGVs, dumper trucks, white vans and visitors who might not know which gate to use ....."

Exactly, not all circumstances are the same; not all workplaces have those vehicles; not all vehicles are travelling at the same speed.
JohnW  
#41 Posted : 18 July 2016 16:15:56(UTC)
Rank: Super forum user
JohnW

So, for workplace traffic, like in a loading yard, building site or roadworks I think we would come up with the same risk assessment.

Cheers.
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