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mikecarr  
#1 Posted : 01 August 2018 13:30:54(UTC)
Rank: Forum user
mikecarr

Hi all

I'm intersted in hearing opinions about Risk Ratings on a RA for  non complicated type of tasks

E;g is it nessacary to use a 5X5 rating  as long as you have identifed the significant risks and implemented control measures

WatsonD  
#2 Posted : 01 August 2018 13:44:23(UTC)
Rank: Super forum user
WatsonD

Mike, I fear you have opened a whole can of worms with that one.

For my tuppence worth. It is up to you (if your the senior H&S practitioner) to decide whether it suits you, your RAs and your organisation. There is no right or wrong, but you will get plenty of opinion on this, I'm sure.

Kate  
#3 Posted : 01 August 2018 13:49:07(UTC)
Rank: Super forum user
Kate

The HSE suggest not (in their example risk assessments).

Many auditors of all kinds will seize on the absence of them.

So it depends on (a) whether you find it useful or not and (b) who is going to look at them and criticise them.

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A Kurdziel on 01/08/2018(UTC)
rick448  
#4 Posted : 01 August 2018 14:15:50(UTC)
Rank: Forum user
rick448

Oddly, I have been having that exact conversation this morning. This followed a review of a large number of risk assessments from different departments within our organisation. This review has showed one thing to me, and that is, that using a 5x5 risk matrix with areas for unaceptable / review / and acceptable just means that assessors have fudged the numbers to sit in the review area, when clearly if they had followed the descriptor in the guidance, the task would be deemed unaceptable. Granted, the level for unaceptable is very low in my opinion, basically anything over 9 on a 5x5 falls into that bracket. In my industry it is nigh on impossible to reduce the severity below 5 for lots of tasks, and to have to then reduce the likelihood to 1 is just not realistic. 

For me, the most important thing is the cotrol measures and correct implemetation of these, rather than numbers in a matrix. 

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A Kurdziel on 01/08/2018(UTC), nic168 on 03/08/2018(UTC)
SBH  
#5 Posted : 01 August 2018 14:16:16(UTC)
Rank: Super forum user
SBH

I think not - the scope is to wide when using 5x5. I prefer to use high medium low. However many assessors dont - so its up to you to define the consequence in my view, - even then will all assessors get the same result - probably not

SBH

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A Kurdziel on 01/08/2018(UTC)
peter gotch  
#6 Posted : 01 August 2018 14:40:40(UTC)
Rank: Super forum user
peter gotch

Whichever way there will be disagreements.

and remember that sometimes anything in a Red Zone may be  deemed necessary - e.g. rescue of the children in Thailand.

equally that if in the Green Zone there could still be an easy hit to bring the risk down even further.

and if using a matrix with maximum severity say 5, if you assign this to a single fatality, what do you do if there could be many more deaths e.g. dam failure? 

S Gibson  
#7 Posted : 01 August 2018 14:47:10(UTC)
Rank: Forum user
S Gibson

I use the 5x5 matrix as it suits the Auditors and myself 

Whatever your comfortable with is my advice

Connor35037  
#8 Posted : 01 August 2018 15:18:04(UTC)
Rank: Forum user
Connor35037

We also use a 5 x 5 matrix.

While assigning numerical RA values can be useful, it does suggest that risk assessment is a "scientific" process rather than a qualitative one.

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A Kurdziel on 01/08/2018(UTC)
A Kurdziel  
#9 Posted : 01 August 2018 15:54:14(UTC)
Rank: Super forum user
A Kurdziel

The HSE does not like these just for the reasons quoted: people get hung up on the numbers rather than get on with applying suitable controls. Of course IOSH in their training go about them and like to use a 5 x 5 matrix. If you have to use a matrix I just stick to a 3 x 3. I also avoid the pointless area of yellow/amber which means that you proceed but review every 6 months/weeks/days or seconds. That is really just fudging it; either you do it with whatever controls you have or you apply additional controls.

The Thai cave rescue is a really interesting case.  Here someone had to balance the risk to the rescuers with the likelihood that the boy would die if the rescue was not attempted.

Nevertheless some sort of risk assessment process must have taken place balancing these two risks out. If for example they believed that they boys were dead there was no point in attempting a rescue with rising waters in the caves. They could just have easily recover the bodies after the rainy season and after the water levels had dropped. It is not worth risking people lives to recover bodies.

Strangely if you look at documentaries  about  the rescue services in the old  days people often did risk their lives to recover bodies or to preserve property(rather than rescue people)

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rick448 on 02/08/2018(UTC)
Charlie Brown  
#10 Posted : 01 August 2018 21:00:25(UTC)
Rank: Forum user
Charlie Brown

In my old job we didn't use the 5x5 matrix until our auditors started asking for it in which cast the company rolled over. Prior to this we used a task analysis sheet that had 4 columns. They stated the task, identified the hazards, who could be harmed and how and determined the controls.

Everybody who could understand English could understand the forms and they did a great job. When we went over to the 5x5 matrix nobody could understand them and nobody used them.

Edited by user 01 August 2018 21:01:26(UTC)  | Reason: Not specified

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A Kurdziel on 03/08/2018(UTC)
mikecarr  
#11 Posted : 02 August 2018 06:33:18(UTC)
Rank: Forum user
mikecarr

Thanks for you comments everyone. It has been a topic of deabate here so nice to get some different opinions 

Hsquared14  
#12 Posted : 02 August 2018 07:52:56(UTC)
Rank: Super forum user
Hsquared14

I hate risk ratings with a loathing that I cannot express using the polite language that we should use in a public forum.  In 20 years of being an auditor I have never seen a risk assessment process that was enhanced by a risk rating.  It tends to make people work to the numbers without thinking about the actual risk, I've seen assessments where the aim has been to make everything come out as a high risk (supervisor hates their boss) or as a low risk (management don't want to do any work or spend any money).  This defeats the object of a risk assessment which should be to "tell the story" of the risk so that you can identify clearly the actions that you need to take to control it. The initial idea of using a rating to prioritise actions has been perverted over time to the point where many people think that the aim of a risk assessment is to generate a risk rating, I have also seen and heard high level safety professionals say that a risk rating is a quantified risk assessment - no its not - quantified risk assessment is a much different and more searching technique and my heart sinks when I here a risk rating being referred to in that way.  I say scrap the whole of idea of risk rating and get back to describing the risk and really understanding it. 

Phew!!!  feel better for getting that off my chest.

thanks 5 users thanked Hsquared14 for this useful post.
rick448 on 02/08/2018(UTC), A Kurdziel on 03/08/2018(UTC), pete48 on 03/08/2018(UTC), Charlie Brown on 03/08/2018(UTC), Andrew W Walker on 06/08/2018(UTC)
mikecarr  
#13 Posted : 02 August 2018 08:21:57(UTC)
Rank: Forum user
mikecarr

Originally Posted by: Hsquared14 Go to Quoted Post

I hate risk ratings with a loathing that I cannot express using the polite language that we should use in a public forum.  In 20 years of being an auditor I have never seen a risk assessment process that was enhanced by a risk rating.  It tends to make people work to the numbers without thinking about the actual risk, I've seen assessments where the aim has been to make everything come out as a high risk (supervisor hates their boss) or as a low risk (management don't want to do any work or spend any money).  This defeats the object of a risk assessment which should be to "tell the story" of the risk so that you can identify clearly the actions that you need to take to control it. The initial idea of using a rating to prioritise actions has been perverted over time to the point where many people think that the aim of a risk assessment is to generate a risk rating, I have also seen and heard high level safety professionals say that a risk rating is a quantified risk assessment - no its not - quantified risk assessment is a much different and more searching technique and my heart sinks when I here a risk rating being referred to in that way.  I say scrap the whole of idea of risk rating and get back to describing the risk and really understanding it. 

Phew!!!  feel better for getting that off my chest.

I couldn't agree more. Intersting that you are an auditor though. I have inherited a suite of RA's that have RR. They are all due for review so I want to scrap the RR and start again. There is some resistance however as they want to keep them for audit purposes. It appears they are liked by who ever does the audits

biker1  
#14 Posted : 02 August 2018 08:41:31(UTC)
Rank: Super forum user
biker1

I have always taken the view that risk ratings, assuming you get them right, are only really useful to indicate priorities for action on controls. They serve no other real purpose. As long as you appreciate this, it should avoid getting hung up on the numbers.

Kate  
#15 Posted : 02 August 2018 08:56:03(UTC)
Rank: Super forum user
Kate

Well said, HSquared14!

rick448  
#16 Posted : 02 August 2018 10:33:13(UTC)
Rank: Forum user
rick448

Originally Posted by: Hsquared14 Go to Quoted Post

I hate risk ratings with a loathing that I cannot express using the polite language that we should use in a public forum.  In 20 years of being an auditor I have never seen a risk assessment process that was enhanced by a risk rating.  It tends to make people work to the numbers without thinking about the actual risk, I've seen assessments where the aim has been to make everything come out as a high risk (supervisor hates their boss) or as a low risk (management don't want to do any work or spend any money).  This defeats the object of a risk assessment which should be to "tell the story" of the risk so that you can identify clearly the actions that you need to take to control it. The initial idea of using a rating to prioritise actions has been perverted over time to the point where many people think that the aim of a risk assessment is to generate a risk rating, I have also seen and heard high level safety professionals say that a risk rating is a quantified risk assessment - no its not - quantified risk assessment is a much different and more searching technique and my heart sinks when I here a risk rating being referred to in that way.  I say scrap the whole of idea of risk rating and get back to describing the risk and really understanding it. 

Phew!!!  feel better for getting that off my chest.

My feelings entirely, and also my experience. Interestingly, we have an audit next week, I will mention removing the risk rating for future assessments and see what response I get.

cj  
#17 Posted : 03 August 2018 08:28:50(UTC)
Rank: New forum user
cj

The best way I believe is just to state whether it has been reduced ALARP, after all that is what the law requires. When you score risks some will end up being high e.g. working at height and there will be nothing else you can do to reduce the risk. An auditor may come along and get upset that you accepting a high scoring risk with no further actions.

WatsonD  
#18 Posted : 03 August 2018 10:24:23(UTC)
Rank: Super forum user
WatsonD

Blaming risk ratings in RAs for bad safety practices is like blaming increased ice cream sales on rising cases of sunburn. It is a tenuous link at best, skirts the issue and largely makes no sense.

If supervisors hate management and management are too tight to spend any money, you have a bigger issue to solve then removing numbers from a risk assessment.

A Kurdziel  
#19 Posted : 03 August 2018 12:06:57(UTC)
Rank: Super forum user
A Kurdziel

I think an obsession( if that is not too strong a word)  with risk rating is symptomatic of an attitude that H&S is largely down to form filling and  box ticking rather than realistically looking at what you are doing and what you need to do to ensure safety (SFARP). As it generates “numbers” it is seen by some as being quantitative and therefore superior to other qualitative methods. This as has been pointed out is not really the case; the “numbers” are very subjective.

I am not sure why auditors like this approach, possibly they have never really been trained for H&S but simply to follow a formula.  As said the HSE does not really like this approach and that you would not be regarded as legally non-complaint if you don’t use this format.

Edited by user 03 August 2018 14:23:08(UTC)  | Reason: neededa NOT to make sense

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pete48 on 03/08/2018(UTC)
Kate  
#20 Posted : 03 August 2018 13:10:25(UTC)
Rank: Super forum user
Kate

Auditors like anything that gives them something to look for inconsistencies in, so the more complicated the better as far as they are concerned.  Imagine how excited an auditor would be on discovering that numbers had been incorrectly multiplied or the incorrect colour code had been assigned or a similar scenario in two separate risk assessments had received different risk ratings!

I had one auditor who asked me if it wouldn't be easier to give not just the residual risk rating as we were doing, but also the risk rating in the absence of controls.  'Easier' was his actual suggestion.  Er ... no.  Easier for an auditor to pick apart, but more difficult for those who create or consult the risk assessments!

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A Kurdziel on 03/08/2018(UTC)
Hsquared14  
#21 Posted : 03 August 2018 13:37:54(UTC)
Rank: Super forum user
Hsquared14

Originally Posted by: Kate Go to Quoted Post

Auditors like anything that gives them something to look for inconsistencies in, so the more complicated the better as far as they are concerned.  Imagine how excited an auditor would be on discovering that numbers had been incorrectly multiplied or the incorrect colour code had been assigned or a similar scenario in two separate risk assessments had received different risk ratings!

I had one auditor who asked me if it wouldn't be easier to give not just the residual risk rating as we were doing, but also the risk rating in the absence of controls.  'Easier' was his actual suggestion.  Er ... no.  Easier for an auditor to pick apart, but more difficult for those who create or consult the risk assessments!

Kate that is the sign of a very poor auditor.  An effective auditor should be looking for things that ensure you are maintaining adequate control and not just maintaining a poor system which forces you to work for the system instead of the system working for you!!  Unfortunately they are another example of "people who bring H&S into disrepute"  and who should be first against the wall come the revolution!!!

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A Kurdziel on 03/08/2018(UTC)
chris.packham  
#22 Posted : 05 August 2018 15:09:06(UTC)
Rank: Super forum user
chris.packham

Doesn't it depend on how you define a risk assessment and the end point that you are seeking. I rather like the following;

“A risk assessment is nothing more than a careful examination of what, in your work, could cause harm to people, so that you can weigh up whether you have taken enough precautions or should do more to prevent harm.”  Taken from: “Good Practice Information provided by EU-OSHA”, September 2009.

Chris

Inchoa  
#23 Posted : 06 August 2018 13:07:13(UTC)
Rank: Forum user
Inchoa

I worked for an organisation that used a 5x5 matrix and the managers spent more time making the numbers fit the outcome they would like rather than managing the real risks. We abandoned the scoring matrix and used the model from the HSE web site. The positives where managers concentrated on managing risk than crunching numbers.  

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Andrew W Walker on 06/08/2018(UTC), A Kurdziel on 06/08/2018(UTC)
DMatt  
#24 Posted : 09 August 2018 12:29:07(UTC)
Rank: New forum user
DMatt

If you apply a risk rating score to a risk assessment and something does go wrong, when applying the Sentencing Guidelines during a prosecution the Judge may use your risk assessment to sentence you. i.e. you knew it was high risk etc.

The key is using reasonably practicable measures that are quite easily found in the relevent ACOP, Guidance Notes etc.

Remember that 'insignificant risks can usually be ignored, as can risks arising from routine activities associated with everyday life, unless the work activity compounds or significantly alters those risks' L21 (when it was actually still used!)

nic168  
#25 Posted : 09 August 2018 13:16:25(UTC)
Rank: Super forum user
nic168

 The IOSH MS course is focussed on teaching Risk assessment using risk ratings, to be fair it easier to explain priorities and control measures using numbers . Numbers or values can also be useful when you have to convince managers of the need to take action, but I agree that in a well managed workplace they have no real value.

Current workplace are very hung up on them, the limited number of risk assessments I have seen are very orientataed towards getting the right score, which is one of the reasons I would like to do away with them- good at maths, rubbish at hazard spotting is my thought for the day.

A Kurdziel  
#26 Posted : 09 August 2018 13:25:05(UTC)
Rank: Super forum user
A Kurdziel

Originally Posted by: nic168 Go to Quoted Post

 The IOSH MS course is focussed on teaching Risk assessment using risk ratings, to be fair it easier to explain priorities and control measures using numbers . Numbers or values can also be useful when you have to convince managers of the need to take action, but I agree that in a well managed workplace they have no real value.

Current workplace are very hung up on them, the limited number of risk assessments I have seen are very orientataed towards getting the right score, which is one of the reasons I would like to do away with them- good at maths, rubbish at hazard spotting is my thought for the day.

Agreed. I think that IOSH Managing Safely course could be one of the reasons for the current obsession (said it again!) with the 5 x 5 matrix.

WatsonD  
#27 Posted : 09 August 2018 13:30:30(UTC)
Rank: Super forum user
WatsonD

Originally Posted by: DMatt Go to Quoted Post

If you apply a risk rating score to a risk assessment and something does go wrong, when applying the Sentencing Guidelines during a prosecution the Judge may use your risk assessment to sentence you. i.e. you knew it was high risk etc.

Ignorance is no defence in H&S law. The omission of a rating will not allow you leniency. What will decide your fate is whether you have controlled the risk AFARP.

Effectively 'controlling a risk' and 'rating a risk' are not mutually exclusive. A risk rating does not mean that conrols are inadequate any more than a lack of risk rating proves that controls have been better considered.

As I said in #2 its down to personal preference. And the answer to the OP is 'no' they are not always necessary; they are not the cause of bad H&S practice either

chris42  
#28 Posted : 09 August 2018 14:33:54(UTC)
Rank: Super forum user
chris42

I inherited in a previous job risk assessment with a 5x5 matrix and the managers and employees liked them. The Managers seemed to feel that the matrix idea allowed them to consider (and prompt) each part of the process you and I would just do in our heads. None of them had any difficulty multiplying 5x5 or 3x5 or 4x2. Each page had the key on it in full so when any employee picked up an assessment page all the information was there and never seemed to have any issues understanding what the issue (hazards and risks and their extent) was. The numbers and score were well spelt out.

It sort of worked for me also, as any assessment done by one of the managers came to me and if I thought they were over or under judging the likelihood or potential harm I could go and have a word ( for the next time). This helped with the issues of people feeling everything ends with death or sever injury or conversely nothing being a problem. We have to remember risk assessments will be done by others who are trained but not foremost H&S people ( so it is what works best for them in my view). If a few small numbers help them judge if controls they have put in are adequate then fine.

In my view High, Medium and Low are just as subjective. What I may consider High someone else may consider medium etc. It sort of all depends to what you relate it to or your personal experiences. I would like to think a risk assessment I did would be better than that of a middle manager as I have greater H&S experience and therefore be more likely to consider issues not thought of by them. At the end of the day all that matters are the outcome of controls against specified hazards. The assessment is no more than a tool to allow your mental exercise to take form.

That was the previous place I worked, they liked it and it worked for them. I gave my current place the option and they went for H/M/L, so each perhaps has it place.

To answer the subtility of the Op’s question the answer is “No” as he is talking about non-complex tasks and I think if you are going to use a matrix it favours the more complex. However, I would not use both ways it would be Either / Or, just for consistency.

Chris

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WatsonD on 10/08/2018(UTC)
andybz  
#29 Posted : 10 August 2018 07:13:47(UTC)
Rank: Super forum user
andybz

Risk assessment is a process not a 'thing.'  There are lots of tools we can use when carrying out a risk assessment.  Rating matrices are one of those tools.

If the the tool does not work for you, use a different one (don't use a hammer if you need a screwdriver).

If the tool is the wrong size, change it (don't use a 10mm spanner if you need a 12mm).

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A Kurdziel on 10/08/2018(UTC), nic168 on 10/08/2018(UTC)
nic168  
#30 Posted : 10 August 2018 12:51:17(UTC)
Rank: Super forum user
nic168

 I think Chris has nailed it- most of us can do the regonition and evaluation in our heads without too much effort, others less experienced need something to  get them started  and put things in context.

Where a matrix is helpful is when there is a turnover of staff- they are all working more or less to the same guidance.

The point about the RA being a tool not an end to itself is one I seem to be making a lot recently :(

Waz  
#31 Posted : 10 August 2018 14:30:30(UTC)
Rank: Forum user
Waz

For my contribution I consider the 5 x 5 matrix to be efficient as long as you look at the risk objectively in terms of severity and likelihood.  Another factor that I would suggest may want consideration is the 5 steps to Risk Assessment, which requires an 'Evaluation of the Risk' - the 5 x 5 grid demonstrates that a form of evaluation has indeed been conducted.  I agree, some may use the process established within an organisation on the values generated to get out of being the assessor per sai, e.g. the procedure stipulates that if score is x - then review is required.....

But overall, assess the risk, looking at the worst case scenario element as the severity measure - whats the worst thing that could happen?

rick448  
#32 Posted : 10 August 2018 20:08:32(UTC)
Rank: Forum user
rick448

Originally Posted by: Waz Go to Quoted Post

For my contribution I consider the 5 x 5 matrix to be efficient as long as you look at the risk objectively in terms of severity and likelihood.  Another factor that I would suggest may want consideration is the 5 steps to Risk Assessment, which requires an 'Evaluation of the Risk' - the 5 x 5 grid demonstrates that a form of evaluation has indeed been conducted.  I agree, some may use the process established within an organisation on the values generated to get out of being the assessor per sai, e.g. the procedure stipulates that if score is x - then review is required.....

But overall, assess the risk, looking at the worst case scenario element as the severity measure - whats the worst thing that could happen?

I think if you look at worst case scenario for any severity measure you are unlikely to have many scoring less than a 5. I think a reasonable assessment of the severity based on past experience and previous incidents (if available) is much more realistic. For example, we have had a couple of staff members who have been cut by razors when searching baggage, if the risk assessor went for worst case scenario they cold score a 5 for severity, as they could be infected with HIV or hepatitis and die. In relaity, how likel is that to actually happen?

boblewis  
#33 Posted : 10 August 2018 21:21:57(UTC)
Rank: Super forum user
boblewis

For me the real problems with matrices are that they are used as a single iteration when in fact they should be repeated as control measures are put in place to ensure that the risk level is at the lowest level sfrp for each hazard of the task.  That is to say that each hazard has reached the level of optimum control.  They do then also identify those hazards which need additional measures to achieve control

rick448  
#34 Posted : 10 August 2018 21:41:39(UTC)
Rank: Forum user
rick448

Originally Posted by: boblewis Go to Quoted Post

For me the real problems with matrices are that they are used as a single iteration when in fact they should be repeated as control measures are put in place to ensure that the risk level is at the lowest level sfrp for each hazard of the task.  That is to say that each hazard has reached the level of optimum control.  They do then also identify those hazards which need additional measures to achieve control

That is how it is done in our system, a score prior to control measures being implemented, then the residual risk is calculated. This is for each hazard within the task, not the task as a whole. 

HSE Chris Wright  
#35 Posted : 10 August 2018 21:57:10(UTC)
Rank: Forum user
HSE Chris Wright

Risk matrixes / Risk ratings are subjective. you get in as much as you get out. Risk matrixes are extremely useful in the right context. in General EHS they tend to be qualitative / semi quantiative and if used correctly can still be highly effective but if abused then of course they will fail. 

In general EHS yes it can help to prove an ALARP status perhaps. 

In process Safety as an example Matrixes are of Quantitative nature and are extremely useful when designing plants etc. it allows a quantifiable assessment to be made against corporate standards. a qualitative approach would not be suffice.

To find a Matrix useful of course you must fully understand its use and design it to fit your system / needs. 

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rick448 on 11/08/2018(UTC), A Kurdziel on 13/08/2018(UTC)
boblewis  
#36 Posted : 11 August 2018 08:55:24(UTC)
Rank: Super forum user
boblewis

Originally Posted by: rick448 Go to Quoted Post
Originally Posted by: boblewis Go to Quoted Post

For me the real problems with matrices are that they are used as a single iteration when in fact they should be repeated as control measures are put in place to ensure that the risk level is at the lowest level sfrp for each hazard of the task.  That is to say that each hazard has reached the level of optimum control.  They do then also identify those hazards which need additional measures to achieve control

That is how it is done in our system, a score prior to control measures being implemented, then the residual risk is calculated. This is for each hazard within the task, not the task as a whole. 

Your system is a rarity but I am advocating not just a single iteration but several until each hazard is identified as being as low as rp if not eliminated.  I have seen in my time the installation of welfare facilities being used to reduce the risks of a lifting operation on a public highway but nothing about traffic control

rick448  
#37 Posted : 11 August 2018 09:28:23(UTC)
Rank: Forum user
rick448

Originally Posted by: boblewis Go to Quoted Post
Originally Posted by: rick448 Go to Quoted Post
Originally Posted by: boblewis Go to Quoted Post

For me the real problems with matrices are that they are used as a single iteration when in fact they should be repeated as control measures are put in place to ensure that the risk level is at the lowest level sfrp for each hazard of the task.  That is to say that each hazard has reached the level of optimum control.  They do then also identify those hazards which need additional measures to achieve control

That is how it is done in our system, a score prior to control measures being implemented, then the residual risk is calculated. This is for each hazard within the task, not the task as a whole. 

Your system is a rarity but I am advocating not just a single iteration but several until each hazard is identified as being as low as rp if not eliminated.  I have seen in my time the installation of welfare facilities being used to reduce the risks of a lifting operation on a public highway but nothing about traffic control

Oh yes I know, some of the RAMS we see from contractors are an absolute joke. I also can't believe the number of times companies don't even know what we are asking for when we require RAMS and insurance before being allowed on our site. Some of these are very large organisations too. We aks for £10 million insurance cover to work on our site, and a very large company was very proud to send us a copy of their employee lability insurance to cover this! 

Usually I know it is going to go badly when the person I am dealing with has NEBOSH in their email signature, and by that I mean, just NEBOSH... whatever that means. 

boblewis  
#38 Posted : 11 August 2018 15:57:51(UTC)
Rank: Super forum user
boblewis

Add MAPS to that and a perfect storm is predicted.

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